Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 16.894876 19.189874 21.690188 24.617818 27.953768 31.638909 36.021830
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 14.107030 17.208372 20.840002 25.412030 31.023015 37.695805 46.251276
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 11.677788 15.188035 19.574250 25.470329 33.210248 43.054410 56.574398
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.401133 12.976439 17.721894 24.503409 33.985229 46.830815 65.656285
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.636504 11.146914 16.078650 23.546062 34.630414 50.576617 75.441543
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.437730 9.909401 15.057449 23.294842 36.242651 55.975533 88.641428
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.566216 9.011429 14.389899 23.462233 38.526815 62.794407 105.353939
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.797825 8.146931 13.636190 23.371195 40.403411 69.332459 122.953567
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.314670 7.670306 13.434161 24.163079 43.908763 79.215997 148.285819
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.802251 7.057738 12.902303 24.291305 46.282791 87.576425 172.624617
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.261633 6.304347 11.998267 23.582443 46.987353 93.015161 192.559872
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.857593 5.741849 11.358379 23.269010 48.408096 100.106657 217.340196
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.601507 5.439830 11.197899 23.942526 52.084891 112.704536 257.109468
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.402986 5.223189 11.177070 24.917115 56.628401 128.110898 306.848865
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.164450 4.880726 10.836292 25.137676 59.565969 140.619576 352.935360
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.881750 4.391878 10.094331 24.309815 59.919103 147.266616 386.376485
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.639007 3.953848 9.395138 23.457263 60.060305 153.482809 420.391614
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.470753 3.665128 8.999391 23.283873 61.903331 164.427609 470.047422
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.345350 3.460914 8.775567 23.513148 64.872748 179.013362 533.848891
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.221395 3.239129 8.470352 23.471273 67.109473 192.127461 596.878921
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.150206 3.144596 8.481081 24.307492 72.039742 214.035804 692.992199
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.058257 2.977586 8.268793 24.469325 75.033793 230.942337 777.793188
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.945434 2.732545 7.798680 23.780549 75.293689 239.570128 837.405436